Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2019

March 16, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Secretive Revenge 4.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Adreamgoesonforver 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 3 Yellow Chick 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 1 New Bolton Billy 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 New Jersey 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Saratoga Mist 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Irish Jonah 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tomarie 10.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Berberslilbriebrie 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Glowing Star 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Bella Bambina 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Shanghai Glory 0.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Wise Trade 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Hibernia Diamond 30.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Bellamy Cat 20.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Slot 1.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Raphael’s Promise 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sugar Train 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Seeking Blame 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Tew Ways 15.00 1.5 3-1
5 3 Super Fleet 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 4 Debonaire Man 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 5 Six Blade 20.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 March Screamer 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mr. Vincent 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Cyclobomb 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Hay Boy 20.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Pellagrino 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Afleet Melody 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Breath of Royalty 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Peter G. Fox 30.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 My Danzig Partner 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Lucky Lover Boy 15.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Son of Sanibel 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Drummer Don 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Fire Sparx 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Corsario 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 Tempestuous Angel 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Fifty 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Family Crest 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Smooth Don B 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Buzz With Alex 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 House of Friends 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 D’yer Mak’er 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Matter of Factor 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Gifted Justice 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Arctic Schiller 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Righteous 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bolara 30.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Daddy’s Thief 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Down With the King 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 The Italian 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Tuffy’s Lucky 20.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Starry Messenger 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mill and Gloria 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smokinpaddylassie 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Citrine Harbor 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Donna’s Dunkirk 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sweetest Yet 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Ignite 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Tiz Fair 12.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 They Shot Sonny 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Wonderfully Tuned 1.80 1.8 3-1
1A 3 Gurt Boys 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 1 Midnight Harbor 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Midnight Poker 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 2 D T Goodie 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Drosselmagic 15.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Jw’strickymischief 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 King’s House 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Smart and Tough 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Jack O Liam 10.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Prodigious 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Ok Now 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Surfing U S A 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Runs for Luck 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Got It 20.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Texas Two Step 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Ironbound 2.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Recanted 30.00 4.8 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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