March 16, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Chicken Dinner |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Determined Mission |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
S P F Ninetynine |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
5 |
Weekends for Work |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Gaby Vee |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
4 |
Broadway Trouper |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
6 |
Myladycharlotte |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kissandsaygoodbye |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Quick |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
7 |
Dancing Contessa |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
One Proud Wildcat |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Gold Man |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
6 |
Two Putt |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Will Munnings |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lion Lord |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Divine Interventio |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ten Hut |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Grateful Cause |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Padrino’s Heart |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bucked Tooth |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bandolini |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dapper Mun |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lucky Junior |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Closer Look |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Lord |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marylander |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cairo Sun |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rising Perry |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Blue Y Gold (ARG) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Stoney Bennett |
2.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Showalter |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
First Mondays |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Workin On a Dream |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Robey’s Boy |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
South Sea |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Completed Pass |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fly E Dubai |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Forewarned |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Twisted Tom |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unbridled Juan |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
John Jones |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bonus Points |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cordmaker |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
General Downs |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Federal Walk |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Blame the Kids |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dattt Melody |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Whirlin Curlin |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bobby G |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Birdies Honor |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dynamax Prime |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liberty Lane |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chargin Storm |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hayne’s Fever |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kopper Wired |
50.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beyond The Wire S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pat’s No Fool |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Las Setas |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Our Super Freak |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Destiny Over Fate |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
It Justhitthe Wire |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crafty’s Dream |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Afleet Destiny |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Discreet Sister |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Private Terms S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Alwaysmining |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Joevia |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tybalt |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Still Dreaming |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Red Gum |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Makes Mo Cents |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Drawl |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Conniver S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Phantom Shot |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Le Weekend |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Anna’s Bandit |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hailey’s Flip |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
8 |
S W Briar Rose |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Enchanted Ghost |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
Limited View |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Velocita Brillante |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Conjecture |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Truly Hot |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
11 |
9 |
No Picnic |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Not For Love S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lewisfield |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Laki |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Struth |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rockinn On Bye |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eastern Bay |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clubman |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Valley Cal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Buster’s Brother |
0.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Creepy the Crab |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Conquistodor Fuego |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seventyseven Force |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Uncle Shaggy |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gran Champion |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Watchmeneighneigh |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
High Country B |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.