March 15, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hesluck |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Moon Unit |
1.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gordie |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rickhouse |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bet It All to Win |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cape County |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Trophy Road |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Willyoustandforme |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Flat Out Mine |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Japedo |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Me N Logan Ray |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Covington |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oh So Tall |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cat Got Even |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Qaunico |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shoe Money |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fort Given |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hamazingly Rich |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
C H Jay |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Celta Vigo |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Expectvalidczech |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Elsie’s Kid |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
I’m Just Fancy |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fortressa |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mia Angel S |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mia Promessa |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Paddydunalot |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
La Johnnie |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Apple Pie |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wild Desire |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Los Suenos |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Dream Nurse |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Q Go Girl |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Into the South |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Talbeya |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kada |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Agi’s Cait |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hawt Mess |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spice It Up |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Freemore |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Honduras |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Storm Rider |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
I’m Busy |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soul Ready |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grandgran |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chasing Happy |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pop’s Classic Ride |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Marshall Hill |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
More Than Stature |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Midland |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
11 |
Spect No Mercy |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Parking Ticket |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Honey Bunny |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boathouse View |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zella Rose |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Valiant Lady |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
J P’s Gladys |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Council Rules |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gemini Journey |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Niece Jackie Davis |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Where’s the Widget |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Secret House |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Away |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stormy Pacific |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Discreetness |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
True West |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
St. Louie Guy |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Capital Letters |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
I’ve Got Heart |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Pickford |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Mississippi |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
8 |
Arrival |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Gray Sky |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Determinant |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Marzo |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Hello Holiday |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
El Asesino |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Firehorn |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
9 |
Downtowner |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
10 |
Coach Adams |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fareeq |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Dedicated |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Rapid Assent |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Wolf Strike |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Call a Cop |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trenton Bridge |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
12 |
11 |
Call Me Richard |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Air Power |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
I’m River |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Nicky Numbers |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Intimidating |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Perplexed |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Neapolitan |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
13 |
12 |
Samurai Mike |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.