March 14, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Dora Maar | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mi Mi | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glance | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Estrela Cadente | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cry Like a Baby | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | British Invader (GB) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cimarron | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Little Rosy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Emmport | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trophy Doll (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swifty Cat | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Squibnocket | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Angel | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Mercken | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lancelots Lady | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Affaire Secrete | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blues Melody | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Selene’s Argument | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hand Me the Cash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Iquique (FR) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Booneville Chapel | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Any Ole Thing | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pleasant Buffy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Exotica | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Syrup Cake | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zarb’s Winnie | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Quality Production | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Remembermis | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 7 | Sand Pit Road | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paddy O’Lionel | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Well’s Gold | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amazon Cry | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stuck in Vegas | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mallory’s Bandit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | T’ Cadeau | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Chimneyville | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Letithappenquick | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | C’Mon Ve | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Phat and Fast | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Larry Dale | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Sunrise | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jacobs Flyer | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Mosta Flyin | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Senor Blanco | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Cookies Are Good | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | High Noon Rider | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zinger | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 50.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mono | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chocolateicecream | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Killeen | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ault | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mobridge | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | War Bond | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plumb Line | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Nautical Legacy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 5 | Equal Justice | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tapizart | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fist of Rage | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Woman With a Book | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Drewzano | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Truth Goddess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Riverside Walk (GB) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Belle | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dream Passage | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Diamond | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blingin’ Rose | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Golden Orb | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fancy Fox | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready for War | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cha Mono | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Emmett’s Dream | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7 | 5 | Niigon’s Glory | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silis | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Express Lane | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flat Out Fast | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Envoy | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.