March 10, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wile E Peyote | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 0.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Making a Marc | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Telekinesis | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Transatlantic Kiss | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Label | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Musical America | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undercover Lover | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trappezoid | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fascilitator | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Irritator | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Drunken Fridays | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sabe Marcelete | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lurey An | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spartanburg | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kraft’s Rate | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Room to Finish | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wanna Snuggle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Native Wahoo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Toodaloo to You | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gabby’s Half | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pinch Assault | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finishlikeapro | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cameron Rules | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Mischief | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Zipcity | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaniko’s Secret | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gueydan | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Run Skiny Run | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boston Bob | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Tyree | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ever True | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thenextbestthing | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s the Souperwon | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tell Your Daddy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Last Zip | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mike | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One for Richie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cohete Rojo | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Jake | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seeking Malibu | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Will Cry | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Accent | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Road | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Out Justin | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angle’s Angel | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheba Hazelwood | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Andy Jones | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cratus | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Dusty | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adonis Creed | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wildwood Dejavu | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Galactica | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Concord Fast | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Masked | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Johnny Obvious | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indian Lover | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corot | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lawton | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | U S Marshal | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fifth Title | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Ridge | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Man | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nuggetsofknowledge | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half a Bite | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balance Due | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonights Star | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purim King | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chambliss | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Carbonated | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Steeles Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Another Mystery | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lookin High | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Parade Field | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Keepin It Classy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time Flies By | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Dream | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lukie (GB) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tringale | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Farat | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eskenforit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drayke’s Channel | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Decision | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leader of Men | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Timbrook | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Yankee | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starfish Point | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diva’s Ransom | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cats Beauty | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half a Sugar | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanishing Image | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shy Ruston | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Empress | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Born to D’ Wild | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bing | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starry Ide Elaine | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Star Too | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.