March 7, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Big Bad Gary |
0.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beneficent |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Indoctrination (IRE) |
0.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Factorial |
0.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Daddy Factor |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hot Decision |
0.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spanish Bay |
0.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boru |
0.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sneem (IRE) |
0.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cat’s Desire |
0.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Bobbie |
0.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crackling Bread |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tempestuous Gal |
0.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grey Tsunami |
0.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s No Fool |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whata Flirt |
0.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tiz Toffee |
0.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chatty |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lovely Raquel |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trappiza |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Halo Girl |
0.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silken Spy |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lea’s Reward |
0.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sharp Holiday |
0.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ciao Luna |
0.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smart Rachel |
0.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Swallows Inn Gal |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sought More Pep |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Road Test |
0.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Blackout (FR) |
0.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Majestic Eagle |
0.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mesut |
0.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Harbour Master (GB) |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spokane Eagle |
0.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starting Bloc |
0.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Count Alexander |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Move Over (GB) |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Super Sol |
0.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Emboldened |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moon Kitty |
0.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tizanillusion |
0.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smiling Tigress |
0.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amuse |
0.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Steph Being Steph |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Ice Storm |
0.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen of the Track |
0.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Anonymously |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blew by You |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boolicious |
0.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gallantlystreaming (IRE) |
0.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Portal Creek |
0.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Desert Trip |
0.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Equal Measure |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Grandpa Louie |
0.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dialed Up |
0.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’tteasethetiger |
0.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Curry |
0.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runnin’withdadevil |
0.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Birthday |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Derby Storm |
0.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Asaro |
0.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.