March 7, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Carlos | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ricky Dale | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tick Tock Tizzy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Herbie | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Horace Charles | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lion Rampant | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kye’s Addycat | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Ty | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Sniper | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Imindycatbirdseat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Temprano | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Papa’s Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Much Class | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Social Misfit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Throwacross | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pont Du Gard | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Harbor Pilot | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | True Emperor | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | King Cake | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocknroll Rocket | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Machine | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cashanova | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentle Warrior | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cade’s On the Bump | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wings Up | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honos Man | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Behold the Queen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sage’s Epiphany | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Snip | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Havinfunyet | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aint Annie Grand | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunarstrike | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quinn Murphy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trust in Diane | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On My Toes | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Flor | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | View Magic | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Three Twins | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Famous Pen Pal | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Charcoal | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Just in Tee | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 8 | He’s a Climber | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Beyond the Arch | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Southern Humor | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Smithwick | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Bluewater Cat | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Person to Person | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Locket Box | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Papajudgy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tommy C Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Optimal | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of Bluegrass | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Mule | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Commanding Candy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Rooster | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cube | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chop Chop Charlie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Locuaz | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Big City | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aife | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miz Shelton | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missive | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zena Rules | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superduper Sky | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C Islandsurprise | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | N. D. Free | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zamzam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pretty At War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Actress On Board | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Classical Magic | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Lady | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Orageuse | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Muskoka Lady | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Love to Race | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zurlin | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brie’s Lucky Charm | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zee Ro Drop | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doug’s My Daddy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Booth Road Shine | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Omega | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last of the Luck | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Run for Three | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Warnock Springs | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Da Van Geaux | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Double Lunar | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ronda’s Custom | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.