March 3, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Taniko | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elwood J | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Upper Room | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Arch | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oh Man | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Odyssey Explorer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kawara (BRZ) | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pricing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Gemagine | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appolina | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Lady Ann | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Derby Luck | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunagonnamoonya | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Purissima | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Teacher’s Treasure | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lieutenant Dan | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rickey B | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Jones | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Belong to Becky | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Buckstopper Kit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Twentytwentyvision | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Comes the Dream | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Play Hard to Get | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Orchestral | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crown the Kitten | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Original Intent | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Tiznow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Edwards Going Left | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Abner | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unusually Green | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surfing Star | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shades of Victory | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sturdy One | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scathing | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Sophie | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Christy Jackson | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinnamon Twist | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bragging Rights | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Rule of King’s | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | California Street | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Distinctive B | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zatter | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heck Yeah | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Coil Me Home | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Paddock Pick | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Make It a Triple | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leroy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Cabbie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Route Six Six | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Solomini | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kylemore | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beaumarchais | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cool Bobby | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | California Journey | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | True Validity | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Dancer | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tip Top Gal | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Control | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Acadia Fleet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dairy Kid | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belltown Belle | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Year New Me | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stellar Way | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.