March 3, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Indygita |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mi Cuaima |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swapl |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yum Yum |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Laur Net |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pillango |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vinyardnina |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stay Safe Kitten |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Voila La Victoire (IRE) |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bar Libre (IRE) |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Gardencity Gambler |
1.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sierra Love |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Go Girl Gone |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starship Saturn |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
J. P. Calling |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Salsa Queen |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stage Review |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cocktails Or Candy |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bally Squall |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gracie’s Dream |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mama Lela |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Classy Lady |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trading Cents |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sky Shaft |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Michigan Miss |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Elegant Rose |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hightailing |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sally’s Curlin |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Net |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dunbar Road |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kimberly Frances |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Curlins Vow |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Rompin Reid |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Give to U. K. Cats |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Aktabantay (GB) |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lewis Vale |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Bingo Bango Bongo |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Threeohtwocassie |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aire Bueno (CHI) |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liquid Aloha |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bow Tie Affair |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Gran King of Kings |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bernardino |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Mjolnir |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Personal Time |
2.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Cardinal Kitten |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
3 |
Trinity (FR) |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
First Commander |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Solar Warming |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Repair the World |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Flying Girl |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Grace’s Drama |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
There Goes Bella |
1.20 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Galileo’s Affair |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Motion’s First |
30.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Dancing Starlet |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Devuelta |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Kittian Hill |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Homeboy |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
King Leo |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Still the One |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Junipero Avenue |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bad to the Core (FR) |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Majestic Luna |
20.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Our Pride |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Montt |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soldat War |
20.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gyoza |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Second Guess |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Lemniscate |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bad Boy |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
6 |
Uncle Jamo |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Rags for Britches |
30.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Pioneer Dancer |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mohjestic |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sir Hoski |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Identity Politics |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Early Entry |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fast Pass |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barry Karafin Bets |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Green Mansions |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trio of Champions |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gleason |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Be Gone Daddy |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Candygram |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Longstocking |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Focused |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Celia’s Song |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Supercommittee |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Beach Waltz |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Salsa Bella (FR) |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Money Factor |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Designing |
10.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Treasure in Heaven |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Token Vow |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Come On Gerry |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Soldado |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Award Winner |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Final Jeopardy |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Ankeny |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Awesome D J |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Borracho |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Thirsty Betrayal |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Rage Away |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bold Paynter |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Restart |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barbie’s King |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Nobody |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Raison Martini |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Karamchand |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wink and a Nod |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
In Gus We Trust |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prolific Runner |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Commander Fish |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.