March 2, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Student |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Duranga |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Madame Mousse |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’sluckythatway |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blooming Hannah |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Twisted Rosie |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Forthenineteen |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lovely Linda |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mo Bob (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Tartini |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Bellerin |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Falcone |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Implicitly |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
I Can Do This |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Fast as Cass |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Eskenforadrink |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Conformation |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Be Held |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sea Glass |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Asem |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cee Sam’s Girl |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Claudelle |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Holly Hundy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Cairo Kiss |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Twinkle Dream |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Hello Bubbles |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Emrata |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Confidently |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
La Shirimp |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Ladymidtown |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
4 |
Twice Golden |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
2 |
Full Eclipse |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
3 |
Meso |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mind for Mischief |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
14 |
5 |
Chocolate Speights |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cherished |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Soothing |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Bold Mongolian |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Suprema |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paige Runner |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
3 |
Choi |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Pasadena S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Much Better |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Colonial Creed |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Shining Through |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Rijeka (IRE) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
4 |
Neptune’s Storm |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
5 |
Big Scott Daddy |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stubbins |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Eagle Song (IRE) |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
3 |
Mayor Cobb |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Santaluz Dreamin |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Coil to Strike |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Bouncing Around |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sea’s Journey |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Perfect Tale |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Joey Boots |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rare Journey |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Flor de La Mar |
1.20 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Qahira |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Splashy Kisses |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proud Emma |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stirred |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shes All Woman |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Imperial Creed |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Craig’s |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Elusive Flame |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bowl of Spaghetti |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Violent Behavior |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
5 |
Translucent |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Palaleo |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Symphony in Motion |
50.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Samurai Jack |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ayacara (GB) |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Buck Duane |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smokin B |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
June Two Four |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spend It |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunset Seven |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Disco Cat |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moon Juice |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Many Treats |
50.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.