March 1, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Vacation | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatafind | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheap Shot | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reece’s Pal | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mythic’s Patriot | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Comebackwilson | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up to Nothing Good | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | River King | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Voodoo Spell | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fleetway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Carson Kan | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shangroyal | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just Blaze | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mula Mano | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whiskey Bravo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mini Chunk | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mike’s Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marcia Rose | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emery’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mega Rose | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Untuttable Speed | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Proudmoney | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runaway Rae | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Custom Kitty | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cindy Marie | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Guitar King | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Liaison Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Last Flash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ryd a Star | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Taken Back | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Star Anne | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom Way | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jalen Hurts | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Marco Mischief | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Jennovodka | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Netela | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Potential Danger | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Desire | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indium | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortythreeoeight N | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elkhorn Poet | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garrison K | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A Thousand Reasons | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Limonaia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cypress Point | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Noble Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Ally | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Sugar Bolt | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Carry the One | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Discreet Lady | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blues Melody | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nola Win | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coastbuster | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freakin Joe | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strike a Beat | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Social | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wilderness Gate | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fireball Jon | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Matt’s Honey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bee Bit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Nerissa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Simple Pleasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Go to War | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Keeneasabean | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sissy’s Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lorette | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Brilliant Flair | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | She’s a Fine Dime | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Singita Dreams | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Street Runner | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love That Goose | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Deyonce | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Latina Cantina | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Darby | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dori’s Birdies | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shezaone | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adieu Mallory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Baby | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strikingly Smart | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emily’s Pegasus | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loranger Linda | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.