February 28, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Aint Annie Grand | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hopeful Joy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Lu Sea | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Desert Image | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Carolina Jasmine | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nola Fashion | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mizzen Air | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pi | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | My Man Jax | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Bourbon Shotte | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pleasant Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 2 | Mr Haney | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Raise Em Up | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Divine Favor | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lascivious | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kaylie’s Boots | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Woman | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetest Appeal | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serious Steam | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mimi’s Song | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diva Banker | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze This Cat | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Power Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shakes Creek | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jennovodka | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alien Invasion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Briar Jumper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 2 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Armament | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Full of Run | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Dig Charlie Dig | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Wristlet | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beto | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Richie | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharp Witted | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musada | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greeley’s Banker | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Rainey Day | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Geauxcro | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singinginthewind | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simply Gucci | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Pure Bingo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Terps | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Soul | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Creole Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jus Dream Big | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | American Boy | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie de Hustle | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Greeley’s Glacken | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Les Paul | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Mira | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cornacchia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Locally Owned | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malpais | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soap Bubble | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coltonator | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | West Texas | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vicksburg | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tweezer (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Temple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Myunbridledcoyote | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tommy C Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wellfield | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flatster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Sarcastic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Happy Guy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Freemore | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Jemography | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Aloo Ghost | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Morris Island | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Broadway Ice | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Real Time | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oneholylion | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Band Boss | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bandit for Time | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | General Basil Duke | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whathadhappenwuz | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dude Greeley | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Carmelized | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Robert’s Prince | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Argument | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honest Bond | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Card Shark | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.