February 28, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Honor | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Creative Style | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Nugget | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Support Our Cause | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linns Boy | 50.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Flash | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss Loyalty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Free Kitty | 0.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7A | 5 | Smiles From Sadie | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dynamite Kitten | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’sakittykat | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pier Forty | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judge Stanton | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Disguise | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whistling Birds | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bebe Banker | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bozzini | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trance | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Lloyd | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D Emcee | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Frost | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mend Up | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Millionaire Joe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Knows | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Coolboy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dollarsforpennies | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wisecrack | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Craigville Beach | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fotis | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr Wonderful | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Swivel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Fifty | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Avast Matey | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Old Upstart | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | There Goes Jose | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Colorado Grandslam | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Orpheus (ARG) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Great Samurai | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Power | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Much Trouble | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Munnys | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Siena Magic | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bootlegger (FR) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Give Me a Hug | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Allison | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whyisshesoolucky | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bizness Beauty | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Smile | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Bay | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abby Normal | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Flair | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.