February 24, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leavem Britten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pugilist | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Heavens Whisper | 3.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Unfading Beauty | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tiz Cecile | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Maid for Mischief | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rake It Up | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oma Lee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Andthebandplayedon | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tortuga Rio | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blondie Lox Babe | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tencentmartinimary | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Fitzgerald | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Time Key | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noralee | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zippy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Payday Too | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greeley Went West | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zenucci | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Wined Up | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stuck in Vegas | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maga Man | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D J Soul Sista | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | On My Toes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Havinfunyet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Quinn Murphy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lunarstrike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Big Blue Magic | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Myositis Mystique | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Quality | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Victory Seeker | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Catty Krys | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Morning Molly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Liz | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alizee | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Street Dazzle | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sooner Schooner | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Enchanted Emma | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Western Reserve | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Satellite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Potomac River | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Private Party | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Carlos | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brerry | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Irish Proud | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paternal Pride | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maligator | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Irish Prospector | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Niigon’s Glory | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Chase | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s No Bully | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Closing Up | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brush With Caution | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nomorequestions | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ide’s Last Music | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Classic Bowtie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don Guillermo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Striking Star | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Joemo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Firewater Jake | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Attorney Tim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Temple City Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bandit Swanson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cowboys Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Jazzy Justin | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Limnery | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exchequer | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pistoleiro | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mister | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vineyard Sound | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Alltheway to Cairo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Absolut Neworleans | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kye’s Addycat | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ty C | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Roux | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Argument | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Blinkey | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss You Jo | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mikey’s Mouse | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seaside Sergeant | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.