February 23, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Access Granted |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sir Eddie |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Atonarun |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dubnation |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hit the Seam |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unbridled Ethos |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Platinum Nights |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bullion |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
River God |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
High Five |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Salah |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rizzi’s Honors |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fracas |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magicalchic |
30.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Come On Kat |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mi Pajarito |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pied N True |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mama’s Kid |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
What’sontheagenda |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Castle |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Acclimate |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Extrordinary Jerry |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rumpus Cat |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flip the Coin Jan |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Passionate Reward |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gran Martillo |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blue Skye Jade |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Image |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jack’s a Diva |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lu Cat |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fright Night |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Temple View |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiz Me Now |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Worthy to Stand |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Galloping Mischief |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whitehouse Road |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Montana Moon |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mountain Spirit |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Volubile |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alleva |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Taos |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lacazette |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Caecilius |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tough But Nice |
3.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Papa Turf |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Market Sentiment |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boy Howdy |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Croissant |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jimmy the Juice |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Burn Me Twice |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bargaining |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Buena Vista S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Zaffinah (IRE) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Ms Bad Behavior |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Take These Chains (IRE) |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Fahan Mura |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Elysea’s World (IRE) |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Compelled |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Vasilika |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
English Dancer |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Amandine (GB) |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Streak of Luck |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Curlin Road |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Impression |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kenzou’s Rhythm |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pioneerof the West |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Holland Road |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bedeviled |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clear the Mine |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Little Scotty |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Stradella Road |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Mamba |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tammy’s Window |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sutro |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
K P Pergoliscious (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zusha |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Super Patriot |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Copper Fever |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mirth |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Drift Away |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Qafilah (IRE) |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.