February 23, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Homefortheweekend | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lethal Levy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Bobby Brown | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uptown Ruler | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cardinal Coach Mac | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’ll Do | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie’sarchangel | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buddy Rocket | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Subdued | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Front Office | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings Up | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warriors Gem | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fist of Rage | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nautical Legacy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fair Shot | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carrier Landing | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B W P Express | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghaied Roo | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raf | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Stool Budget | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Felipe | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minit to Stardom | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Cutter | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fairwell Tax Break | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Thought | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shakopee Town | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seaside Amour | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hyper Piper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Calamity Jane | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Is Too | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Alexandra | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bermuda Star | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eskenformore | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B’s Ten | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Feline | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Calimambo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | I B Revolutionery | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver King | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luck of the Draw | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Typhoon Tycoon | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Ridge | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jus Lively | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reaffirmed | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prado’s Encore | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapital Gains | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddymademedoit | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gizmo | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Leah Angel (GB) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strella’s War | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Complete | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scary Animal | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allonge | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Free Cover | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Gayle | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Khairiya | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Idle Hour | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evil Genius | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lons Finnish | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Rain | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Manfred | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zanesville | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bond Street (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zapperini | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Revved Up | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Right | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honovi | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Twenty Four Seven | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Net Gain | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ezmosh | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Money | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Honor Mission | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sohni | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkys Surprise | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Samargo | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Neverquitdreaming | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dontwishfortrouble | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.