February 23, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Purchasing Power | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Never Before | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tiz No Bluff | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Twenty Nine | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s New Moon | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s Not Bluffing | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ja’s Malibu | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awillaway | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Today Comes Once | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wailin Josie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crick | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alphadora | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anydayisherday | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arthur’s Hope | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Sigh | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie McCoy | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jibber Jabber | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsum Johnny | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sicilia Mike | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kid Is Frosty | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harley Q | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Behind the Couch | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Macho | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Savings | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arch’s Smile | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Banker | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Umaill | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Elios Milos | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wushu Warrior | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leap to Glory | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eddie Boy | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suas | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lohengrin Two | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Start | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miami Mumbles | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brees Bayou | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Prince | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Tocsin | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pulsate | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tariff Tantrum | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U R Not So Bad | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Lane | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Lute | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Raison | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Ballantine | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J S Bach | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Almithmaar | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Your Place | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Franklin Square S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maiden Beauty | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forgotten Hero | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonesintheroad | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wadadli Princess | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flush | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quietude | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Action | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regalian | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Eight O G | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Professor Snape | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O Shea Can U See | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bitumen | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drummer Don | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Javelin | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.