February 22, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tenency | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Flag | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Givetheman a Cigar | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castle Casanova | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Guy | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scrutinize | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nueva York | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not About the Nail | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Arewehavingfunyet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ribbonite | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3A | 3 | Satin Sheets | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Overnegotiate | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Havana Affair | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elizabeth Nicole | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Hey Mamaluke | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guacamole | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Jazzy J | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Black Belt | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Sheza Diva | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amandasromeo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kathy’s Cause | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Many Tales | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delta Gamma | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Detective Kid | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Lassie | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barbara P | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Topline | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sterling Beauty | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Racing Raven | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somebody | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Support Our Cause | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shiloh Lane | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alrahaal | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seediskid | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Huracan | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garsoon | 50.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Poshsky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | H Man | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halloween Horror | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sparty Boy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pretentious | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ro Bear | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Glencairn | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toohottoevenspeak | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swivel | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coltandmississippi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Ironclad | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Sigh | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Langdarma | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 3 | Roaming Union | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mills | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Felix in Fabula | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Let Me Go First | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | G Zap | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cross Multiply | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lutheran Rags | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | La Maquina Gris | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Infield Is In | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Change of Venue | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mickey T | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buss the Bell | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Laura’s Posse | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Imvros Pride | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hopper Dropper | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Panther Creek | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.