Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 21, 2019

February 21, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sabrena’s Bling 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hello Holiday 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Untraceable 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Determinant 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Yankton 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Run Tappy 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Commandeering 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Call West 15.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Got Mojo 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Burtnjoe 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Detroit Cowboy 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Joan’s Delight 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Haus 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Shoe Money 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Daddy’s Gone 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Celta Vigo 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Cowboy Cactus Jack 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Picking Roses 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Glory 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Five Star Factor 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Desha 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Unprovoked 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Awesome Day 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Backseat Promises 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Linda Listen 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Juliet’s Music 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arkansas Red 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gone Dancing 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Babadoook 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Call Me Derby 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Ri Ri French Fry 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Spot Me 15.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 On Radar 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 All for Truth 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Mr. Cougar 4.50 4 8-1
9 9 Scoot Dude 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Blanco Bronco 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Redeal 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Babaknowsevrything 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Lady Cleopatra 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sure Thing Sheila 1.40 1.6 3-1
5 4 Color Me Pretty 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Racey Reecey 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Loran Holiday (ARG) 20.00 2.9 5-1
8 6 Axial Load 20.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Boathouse View 20.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Grandgran 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Everado 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Lifesbeengoodsofar 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 6 Bet It All to Win 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 1 Rickhouse 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Wicked Gem 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Assay 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 My Macho Mon 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Reverend Don 12.00 3.9 7-1
11 10 Golden Challenge 10.00 4 8-1
6 5 Dawson’s Pride 15.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Naprome 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Mrs Howell 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Point Streak 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Pleasure and Glory 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Saucy At Midnight 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Molly’s Game 15.00 3 6-1
13 12 Sunset Cruise 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Keene’s Desire 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 C C’s Baby Girl 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Big Kitty Kitty 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Peachy 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Key Red 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Soaring Lil Sass 20.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Bellwood Forever 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sheza Handfull 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mucha Mezquina 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Peruvian Appeal 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Agi’s Cait 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Lunar Orbit 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Carrizo 1.20 2.8 5-1
4 4 Midnight Karma 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Miss Perfecta 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Istan Council 20.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dry Levee 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Shining Knight 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Single Gem 12.00 SCRATCH
5 3 New Colossus 1.40 1.3 2-1
1 1 Gray Sky 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 2 Coach Adams 15.00 2 4-1
8 5 Mo’s Mojo 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 6 Golden Bullet 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 I’ve Got Heart 20.00 3.2 6-1
10 7 Coleman Rocky 20.00 3.8 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.