February 18, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Seaside Dancer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sapori Girl | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Track | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Dime for Me | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Field Bet | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Persephone | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gadot | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Si’mon Li’mon | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dairy Kid | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Brite Eye | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Implicitly | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Square | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Typhoon Harry | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giddymeister | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset Seven | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duke of Fallbrook | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | For the Hustle | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spend It | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Seeker | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Confidentially | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Journey | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decorating | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breezy Bee | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ria Munk | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coldwater | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – California Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Galilean | 0.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Heatwave | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whooping Jay | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loud Mouth | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feeling Strong | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lakerball | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apache Princess | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kookie Gal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Unusual | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lippy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Master | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Instinct | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silk From Heaven | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot On the Trail | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ayacara (GB) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Man | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rolls Royce Deal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Schulace | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Patrick | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lighthouse Point | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curly’s Mark | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Duane | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Factor | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Tigress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Amuse | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Cordiality | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gliding By | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Birdie Gold | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Travieza | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Point Nine | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kelly’s Humor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Alystar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Imminent | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curryforthree Bang | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floss N Dab | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizbuds Princess | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Out of Control | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Jada | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Lili B | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Screening | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Omnipotent | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Boisterous | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Kylemore | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quick Finish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Extrordinary Jerry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Claws | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sellwood | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jungle Warfare | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North County Guy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Icy Street | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colosi | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meistermind | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Erotic | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | United | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Chest | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.