February 17, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arrival | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Gray Line | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Bad Habit | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Baby Dream | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daaher’s Success | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On Patrol | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Park | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Misty Journey | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Serious I Candy | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Placed Plan | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Mystery | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nicoles Classygirl | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s World | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broadway Sticker | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cinema Doll | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Bowl Girl | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rockport Kat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Indian | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karma Delight | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Istillgotit | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Showbiz | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Distorted Ransom | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bajan Cash | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purely Given | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vacanza | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Leo Del Reo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fire To | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | East Moon Lake | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bebop Shoes | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crow Mountain | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Destinedtobeastar | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Calle Patron | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hamazing Vision | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Star | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grahamstan | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rusty Cage | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Officer Sid | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy’s Angel | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pearlthirtyeight | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Train | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trueamericanbeauty | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Bella Run | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Belle | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silvera | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banshee Birdie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Fine | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruby Sioux | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glamorized | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Breeze | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Served Cold | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Evening Tide | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holdthatlove | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowgirl Callie | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Kapalua | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mostly Awesome | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Foxy Mischief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Good Move | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Dilly Dally Darby | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Arrowsphere | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heidi’s Wish | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Rose | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acorn Street | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bella Moon | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’s a Lucky One | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Think I Got This | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shabang Baby | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sophie’s Angel | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ulele | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Alicita | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motion Emotion | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Off Topic | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Merada | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Tale | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arch Avenue | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shaharazad | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full of Grace | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13A | 13 | Shut the Box | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Local Hero | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snapper Sinclair | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Rocky Tough | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Away | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hollywood Critic | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Money Dance | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Altito | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gettysburg | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Yen | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catdaddy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nottoway | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chantmeupbaby | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.