February 17, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trenchtown Cat | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Oath | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Munnings | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vada | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eastern Princess | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Trina | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Eyes | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Chapman | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Grace’s Drama | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Distinction | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Galileo’s Affair | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Girl | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ledecky | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Motion’s First | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kittian Hill | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bondetti | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Andronikos | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Courage and Honor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wazzup Chuck | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paynter’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensational Sam | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cabinet Pik | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Blitz | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Motatan | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncommon Factor | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elissas Secret | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purple Girl | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa’s Little Girl | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Boss | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trading Cents | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Michigan Miss | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Nailed It | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Queen Roller | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Non Finisce Mai | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tormenta de Oro | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forty’s Sweetheart | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cuckoo Kenia | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magnato Go | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Kayden | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passionate Hachi | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Fast | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Organic Jenny | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Still the One | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beacos Disco Pants | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Montt | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deweycheatemanhowe | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lovely Sunset | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Majestic Maiara | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Necessary | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Whatta Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oscura | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thanks Mom | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Courageous Change | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Michelle’z Laugh | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winning Game | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Just Kidding | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Sea (FR) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tweet Kitten | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zambian | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Performance Bonus | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Biloxi Bay | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wake Me Up At Noon | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Year of the Kitten | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beneficiary | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Decision | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Ninja | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Lady Rosalie (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cap de Creus | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Kitten | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Got Rocks | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beale Street | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Party | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic River | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accolady | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancensing | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dyna Passer | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Annie Go Lightly | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amarone | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Enduro | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Macfadden | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Mambo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spa Jazz | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Red | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Chaval | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joe Cain | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Bober | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ours Dream Fly | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High Hours (BRZ) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr French (GB) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Cardinal | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoshone Brave | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stevis Man | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Regrets | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Currency | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geyser | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Royal Asscher | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Paint the Corners | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Sassy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Venezuelan Forever | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Safe Kitten | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Dame | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rain in Spain | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Untouchable U | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vinyardnina | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delightful Lana | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Voila La Victoire (IRE) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.