February 16, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Check | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Melody | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pellagrino | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frost’s Song | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Pawn It Back | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Semi Excited | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sams Last Ghasp | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Sweeney | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don Lupe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Battle Tap | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Sidney | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Master Yank | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Printer | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Noble Kent | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kingslayer | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fleet First | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ginner | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ebo Strong | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Special | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Exchange | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Dulzura | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest River | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Clemen | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Razzo | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D T Goodie | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Klaatu | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | These Blues | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Surprise | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drosselmagic | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Always in Denile | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Cawaja Time | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Somethingfancy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Circle Game | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Diamond Moon | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heraway | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glinda | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poochie Lou | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Stash | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | R Lucky Charm | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roraima Dos | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malandrina | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Mo’s Daughter | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’m Thirsty | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Vale | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Every Step | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Shot | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pinatubo | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrecife | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aspen Xtreme | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashonforty | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Refuseing | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Glowing Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Autobahn Express | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Mischief | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Luxicharm | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Daisy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vested Venture | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Madame Barbarian | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Candy Forest | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Thirsty Gal | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rapidez | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whitney Cove | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Honey | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ruble | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Retrograde | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Tail | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warcraft | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Global Positioning | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King’s House | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Gemini Man | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No More Strippers | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Prodigious | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack O Liam | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runs for Luck | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | R Jolley Dreamer | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.