February 16, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Morocco | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valycove | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Themanbehindtheman | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Go | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caloric | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blakey | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teryn It Up | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trev | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storming My Way | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polar Jet | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomater Gator | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Tiger | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Particularity | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fort Worth | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Home | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bandon Woods | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodexpress | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shancelot | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deuces Are Wild | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sole Seeker | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Road | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth With a Kick | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Again | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gottaflathaveher | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daring | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karama | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cotton To | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Miami | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempter | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Won the Case | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kokomo Wildcat | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artist | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bullroarer | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Josh | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nuclear Code | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Exult | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seismic Wave | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Sorrell | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Third Edition | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild One Forever | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiberius Mercurius | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Henry’s Bend | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Hint of Mary | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rate of Return | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Better Vibes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Super Mama | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Dreaming | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mambo Dancer | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anomaly | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Aliphant | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunfest | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh What Ah Moment | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Its About Me | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alexandras Joy | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzen the Cove | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Temple | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crespucula | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stronger Kat | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Samoa | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rolling Bobby | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mia Angelina | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Levy Land | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Treasured Info | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bygollymissdolly | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Return the Favor | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princes Dynamite | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tong Shu | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Me Gusta Papi | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Mandate | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Proud O’Paddy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dagney’s Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Notapradaprice | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fools Gold | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nantucket Red | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Sis | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Samuna (FR) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Finess Bere (FR) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Psalmody | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Moment | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O. K. Kay | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Shot | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sometimesadiamond (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Panzacola (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Factorofwon | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okinawa | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Volatility Index | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Samara | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sierra Aleone | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unaquoi | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snack Shack | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worth Avenue | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Royal Delta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tequilita | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blamed | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weekend Mischief | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Another Broad | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jala Jala (MEX) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Bay | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tulsa Queen | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Spirit Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Franklin Towers | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Immunity | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Stroll | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Macagone | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Flowmotion | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cut to Order | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Threeohtwocassie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Second Street | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Two Step Time | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Bridge | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Queens Jules | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ousby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Vigas | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.