February 15, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gold Arrow | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waze Ready | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scattering Mink | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaydetre | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Empire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Friday’s At Shady | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Contagion | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hard to Come Home | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | R B Eye | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sky Glory | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Calder Vale | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Operandi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Madaket Sunset | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxtail | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atina (ARG) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dearborn | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Leia | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trust Fund Kitty | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweetener | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factorize | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crackling Bread | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gio Pronto | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purdue | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Offer | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempestuous Gal | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sapori Girl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hilltop Harmony | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Si’mon Li’mon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lil Respect | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Enlisting | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lily Con | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kirsch Truffle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | American Falls | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beantown Boys | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Conqueror | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | R Cha Cha | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Two Minutes | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Graycaster | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monydontspenitself | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bezzy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scathing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Great Ma Neri | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Donut Girl | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Judicial | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | An Eddie Surprise | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bragging Rights | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Shylock Eddie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Chasin Lucas | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zestful | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Ghetto | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lindante | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal Dome (GB) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harrovian | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.