February 15, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Totality |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Indian Gulch |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jersey’s Heat |
2.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
King’s Revenge |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7A |
7 |
Ezra |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
John Allen |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8A |
8 |
Lookin At Blessing |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wolf Strike |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miller Man |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Justin Zee |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Tahana |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Idi |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seauxtale |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nomo Ron |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
New Dancer |
1.80 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ravens Reflection |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Croatian |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pop Culture |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Charge Now |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oh So Tall |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ronamo |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kinetic Swagger |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fake Solution |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gigging |
2.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
New Year’s Luck |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spire |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Paper Wazoo |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Georgia Deputy |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3A |
3 |
Cats Honor |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Maleficent Queen |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Rose to Glory |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Quality Street |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seeking Bull |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Stina |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8A |
6 |
C C’s Song |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Wood Not Mind |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
8 |
Nook |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
9 |
Valentine Charm |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
7 |
Miss Shelby |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Irish Mischief |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jo Marie |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Electress |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Palace Princess |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drop Dead Gorgeous |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Gisel |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peka |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carolina Beach |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Golden Driller |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shakurr |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Northcut |
2.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fareeq |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Three Time Charmer |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Powerful Thirst |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Super Syd |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Air Power |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Denali Cherokee |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
C H Jay |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nicky Numbers |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Riff Raff |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Cummings |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mississippi |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Always |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sonny Smack |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Elwood’s Advice |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Make Noise |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sladens Dream |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Pain and Misery |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Nuclear Option |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Strolling |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Downtowner |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
San Juan Diego |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Master Guns |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Goodwillambassador |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Harlanday |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Family Code |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Tommie Trucker |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Aireonblush |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Boss Lady Melissa |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lively Spell |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mistaken Lady |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Laura N Lukas |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Easy Goin’ Girl |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
G Nanny |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scarlett J |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Don’t Blame Bunker |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jim’s Angel |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bendi Blu |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Her Kinda Candy |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Angebellanico |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.