February 14, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Monastrell |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fulkerson |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tapitor |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
One Thirty Nine |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Carmelo |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dangerfield |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
B Dubya |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gotta Curlin |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hard Work |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
I Got the Brahms |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Hesluck |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Japedo |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
P C Suspect |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Back Road Outlaw |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vans Flying Cowboy |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crafty Ike |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Risky Boy |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Philly Boy |
5.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
14 |
12 |
Too Hamazing |
4.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Altimus |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Little Tiny |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
12 |
11 |
Summersweet Road |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
11 |
10 |
Lil Tom Tom |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2X |
10 |
Capital Letters |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
7 |
Got Even |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
Keen Gizmo |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
1 |
Due to His Charm |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
6 |
Solar Maximus |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Touch ‘Em Up |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fusaichi Flame |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Star Dog |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bahnke |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Light Bound Bid |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Weast Hill |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
J. E.’s Handmedown |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hoonani Road |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Glacken’s Ghost |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
K J’s Nobility |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Racer |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mallard’s Bro |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Suspect a Storm |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Happy’s Reflection |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Factress |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mimi’s Ruby Bobby |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fabulous Girl |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Essie’s Reward |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Raja |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summer Lovin |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Royal |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
9 |
Absolute Love |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Banner Wave |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Klassie Connect |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
4 |
Greeley and Ben |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Cool Arrow |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1A |
8 |
Best of Greeley |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Where’s the Widget |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Chris and Dave |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Cowboy Creed |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Cowboy Rhythm |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Malibu Pro |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Cosmologist |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
11 |
Candyrock |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Reflector |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Touch of Disney |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1A |
10 |
Greeleys Spirit |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Wild Caramelo |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Northern Trail |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
On the Lam |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Tre Lee Divine |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mr Wild Kitty |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
8 |
Yes I See |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
3 |
Sidavi |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
9 |
Forze Mau (VEN) |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Treble |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shanghai Tariff |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alex’s Bourbon |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Time and Chance |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
She Takes Heart |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Malibu Princess |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tough Irma |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tiz a Sharpie |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wings of Fury |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alena Marie |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wrinkled Rose |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
She’s Got It All |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Social Circle |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
More Moet Pleez |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hawt Mess |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gift Wrapped |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ragatagtag |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gold Zephyr |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Northern Dynasty |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.