February 10, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Strawn’s Cash |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Meanbone |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rock City Roadhog |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Promising Shoes |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arch Revenge |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Haus |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jack Be Quick |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Blooded Song |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Carmelo |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Three Time Charmer |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Hot Item |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Out of the Office |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ship Stalker |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lead Astray |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Calandave |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Surely You Jest |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sergios Limoncello |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
State of Charm |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Trask |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Deano |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sambucca |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
News Flash |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Moro Texas |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Collection |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Bear Trappe |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Intrysting |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lucky Britches |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Flight Risk |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Giant Pulpit |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Derecho Warrior |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dedicated |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dahik |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Home Run Trick |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Intimidating |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Flat Out Beautiful |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Galahad Kid |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
One Man Party |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Travolta |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ikon Who |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shell Fire |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Barefootbootlegger |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Preacher Time |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8A |
8 |
Candy for Three |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6A |
6 |
After Hours |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cash for the Soul |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Guatemala City |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sammy Wonder Stone |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Made to Fit |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Greeleys Charm |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zimmerman |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Duke of Kent |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz Funny |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Summer’s Indy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Bixby Lou |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Barbary Hall |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dance Proposal |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Jackson Hill |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Pretty Greeley |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
I’ll Take It All |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
C Z Rocket |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shotgun Kowboy |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Colonelsdarktemper |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
High North |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Adulator |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Exclamation Point |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Malibu Max |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Limation |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heavy Roller |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Palace Princess |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Carolina Beach |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Ultimate Mo |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blessed Again |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kid Sis |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sundaysatthebeach |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Helena |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cairo Cutie |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
12 |
10 |
She’s a Truckin |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adari |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Paradise Bay |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
A. P. Princess |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.