February 9, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Annie | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halo Darlin | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emmy and I | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rolling Shadow | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Voluptuous | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Kid | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Radish | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod Gal | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bams Lil River | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portal Creek | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reachreachreach | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orca | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Carmelita | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kristi’s Copilot | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tough It Out | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orchestral | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ky. Colonel | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tigerbeach | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Daddyo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Dandy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canada | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gryffindor | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Royal Trump | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buckys Pick | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Hunter | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Sentiment | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Short of Ez | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Indian Trick | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Creed | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Las Virgenes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bellafina | 0.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mother Mother | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enaya Alrabb | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calf Moon Bay | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tomlin | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cioppino Pasadino | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Will Re Joyce | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eskenforadrink | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twisted Rosie | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Todos Santos | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hero for Hire | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dragon Flower | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forthenineteen | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Mom | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Filly Can Dream | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | River Boyne (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ohio (BRZ) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blackjackcat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Le Ken (ARG) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Valour (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Much Better | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Lightning | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Principe Carlo | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toothless Wonder | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Paytience | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asano | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled’s Skye | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – San Marcos S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chicago Style | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dabster | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epical | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beach View | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flamboyant (FR) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Platinum Warrior (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unapologetic | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Rosso (ARG) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Prince of Arabia | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | India Mantuana | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sejo (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Soul | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Honeymoonz Over | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Morning | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tanners Pride | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shifty Dancer | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neighborhood Bully | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Zip | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Groom | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hollywood Dancer | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhettbutler | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | A Dime for Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dr Wysong | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stylin Ocean | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Heat | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Settle It | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Bradley | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Lately | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spanish Channel | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Stepper | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghai Barbie | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tip Top Gal | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winterbreak | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luckiest Lady Ever | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.