February 9, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sanaable 0.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Canarsie Girl 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Win the Shake 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Clara Allen 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bizness Beauty 15.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Driven by Speed 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Not About the Nail 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Satin Sheets 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Elizabeth Nicole 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Milaya 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Twofer 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pretentious 1.40 2.2 4-1
4 4 Old Upstart 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Zabaione 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Toohottoevenspeak 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Eden Ridge 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Holy Week 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Theresa’s Boy 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dublin Leprechaun 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Shook Em Up 1.80 4.7 9-1
1 1 Well in Tune 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Noble Behavior 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Ridolfo 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Flat Out Jayvien 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Quintarelli 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Blessed Honour 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bluegrass Jamboree 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Noble Freud 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Shimmering Moon 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Fair Regis 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 Summer Punch 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Gypsy Janie 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rose of Dublin 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Stirred Not Shakin 2.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Tousled 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Vinda Machine 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Weekend Forecast 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Margie Cat 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sweet Blindness 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Charming Cara 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Princessof Philmar 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Thinkingofglenn 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fournineteen 1.60 2.3 4-1
7 7 Shak’s Hidden Gem 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Warrens Vengeance 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Diamond N Simon 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Bustin Scones 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Double the Bet 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 She’s a Lumberjane 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Haikal 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Tikhvin Flew 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Gates of Dawn 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Jump for Alex 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Family Biz 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Direct Order 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Joevia 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Devil’s Flair 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Flat Out Funky 20.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Annette’s Humor 1.40 2.3 4-1
10 8 Caralicious 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 6 Centrall 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 3 D’s Sis 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Minit Maus 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Boosted Ego 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Cocoa Bella 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Emmy Knows 30.00 6.7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.