February 9, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sanaable | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Canarsie Girl | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Win the Shake | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clara Allen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bizness Beauty | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Driven by Speed | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not About the Nail | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Satin Sheets | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elizabeth Nicole | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milaya | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twofer | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pretentious | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Upstart | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zabaione | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toohottoevenspeak | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eden Ridge | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Week | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Theresa’s Boy | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dublin Leprechaun | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shook Em Up | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Well in Tune | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Behavior | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ridolfo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quintarelli | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Freud | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shimmering Moon | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fair Regis | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Punch | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Janie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rose of Dublin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stirred Not Shakin | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tousled | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vinda Machine | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Forecast | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margie Cat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Blindness | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charming Cara | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princessof Philmar | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thinkingofglenn | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fournineteen | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Vengeance | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond N Simon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Scones | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double the Bet | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Lumberjane | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Haikal | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tikhvin Flew | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gates of Dawn | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jump for Alex | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Family Biz | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Direct Order | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joevia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Flair | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Funky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Annette’s Humor | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Caralicious | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Centrall | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | D’s Sis | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boosted Ego | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cocoa Bella | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emmy Knows | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.