February 8, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fleetwood |
1.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jr’s Sauvage |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Andy’s Legacy |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bonecrushervincent |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aunya Ruling |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Slewfoot Gulch |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jazzy Punch |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bill’s Production |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Coach Johnny |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Rickshaw Express |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
It’s All Up to You |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
A Band Apart |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Stormation |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
My Expectations |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Mighty Intimidator |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
4 |
Runaway Ide |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
King’s Share |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
6 |
Thats It Imleaving |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
7 |
Heartland Hit |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Racin Rebel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
See Carlos Run |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shae’s Day |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sharp Witted |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Purim King |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
J C’s in Town |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Man Camp |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. E Edwards |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bailey’s Power |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Cookie |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Classic Heath |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Asdrubal |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Ardennes |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Doc’s Rocket |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Brilliant Notes |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Chloe Raven |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Own the Night |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Malila |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cool Kitty |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ensign |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sparkling Red Jet |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shook |
1.60 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Turkish Delight |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Palmettovowmenot |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zarb’s Winnie |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Racy |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Outoftheballpark |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Secret Brass |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Katie’s Bayou |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daisy Can |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Akulina |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Take Charge Taylor |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Always Grace |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rattlesnake Show |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maybe I Can |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alissaleeparker |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Saint Kennedy |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Peace Points |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Bagpipes |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Watch My Smoke |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Buddy Chuck |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Chukka |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Turn Up the Lights |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
U S Officer |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Miracle Master |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
No Guts No Glory |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
Howe Amazing |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Charlies Ticket |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Saponi |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Bayou |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beto |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hooray Austin |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Why Not Charlie |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Victory Trip |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hoops Cigar |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pat Me Down |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
7 |
Dry Wood Creek |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
5 |
Rose Needs a Check |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
2 |
Randy Paul |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2B |
6 |
Fancy This |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rifle Man |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
1 |
Warned |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Big Gig |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ten Silver Pins |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zackarooney |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Devil’s Pay |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Miss Rippinlips |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Slippers |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Running Unbridled |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Custom Kitty |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Rosebud |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Diamond for Crider |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Andale Girl |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wish for Interest |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Uruguay |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lily Rhett |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sorcerer’s Bag |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.