February 8, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Plum Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Emmzy | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karabessa | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stokes | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Bella Chica | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Emily | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fox Red | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shamrock Kid | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Wise | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Siena Magic | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Maquina Gris | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Bergen | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Overnegotiate | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sing for Beauty | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Belle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Emily’s Smile | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Moondance Joy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Saw It All | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Trip Ups | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Craigville Beach | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Bank Gala | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jack Bo | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Iron Fork | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ravenbro | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Judge Stanton | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Daring Disguise | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smooth Tales | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pier Forty | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Opt | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bebe Banker | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Browning | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ventus | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carfullofmoonshine | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Science Fiction | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love to Learn | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet August Lady | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cathy Naz | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Questeq | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Flash | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Daisy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Passporttovictory | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leah’s Dream | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orchid Party | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cryinthemoonlight | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turn and Bern | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Annie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taptaptap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 3 | Pour It Out | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Center City | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Seed Money | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coach Villa | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiger Man | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fleet Warrior | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Six Brothers | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wisecrack | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fortune’s Boy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.