February 7, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Acclimate | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Set Ruler | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Milo | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaymin | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Push Through | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luke’s On Fire | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duluth | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Huddle | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brioso | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victor’s Show | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sergio | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Ballad | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rak City | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Early Jersey | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Pleasure | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | See That Kat | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Nine O | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daybreak (GB) | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses and Candy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boldest Vow | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Etching | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Good | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cat’s Desire | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Strong Baby | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Equal Measure | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Contessa | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Klaus | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sass Machine | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sierra Sunrise | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Hunted | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snazzy Dresser | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avalanche | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shaky Alibi | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buckstopper Kit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Caymus | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trojan Spirit | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mantracker (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Spice | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bashful | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starr of Quality | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo See Cal | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Smidge | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fool’s Paradise | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jazaalah | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frankie Machine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Roaring Fork | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Builder | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | June Two Four | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Count Hu | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gentle Prince | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | All I Can Say | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spend It | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frozen Money | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Spectator’s Dream | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Leader of Men | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Kitty | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Sydney | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seven Oxen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cryin’ Chuck | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resident Liberal | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big City Bane | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indy Jones | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Andover | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silent Musketier | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.