February 4, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Lie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Catch Fire | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cardcounter | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashonforty | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A J’s Way | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Infuriated | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Vinnie | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Billy Badpay | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunshine Sperry | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Belly Dancer | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Recanted | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Man | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kendricks | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promise Illgetyou | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chill Factor | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Informality | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Placer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glass Bridge | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youshouldbedancing | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howboutdempats | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Diva Drama | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don Vito’s Kitty | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reigning Fire | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molly McGee | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Gala | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keepmyeyeontheboys | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allegretto | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Makes Me Smile | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dennis’ Diamond | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fara’s Kid | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repentant | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Prosperity | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Romance | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drosselmagic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Refuseing | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clare’s Dowery | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caramel Cream | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friday Mass | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Bloom | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Fair | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hola Princess | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abuela Loca | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Izzadora Bella | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colloquium | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finishing School | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lights Down Low | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verrazano Vittoria | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elan | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Like a Pro | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast Runner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Appealing Future | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stand and Salute | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whateveryouwant | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Chub | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Draxhall Woods | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Justice | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Blue | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Mrs. Rembrandt | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Midnight Bounty | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Roman Reign | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Zafiro Azul | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Gadwall | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Viva Nevada | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Banana Anna | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Yes Mz Adah | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Red Wagon | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Thump | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.