January 31, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Light Her Up | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pam’s Meadow | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girls Life | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Till Two | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Brenda | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kowboy’s Bobo | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jus Lively | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nippy Red | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Little Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amavi | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Bingo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Bermuda | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don Guillermo | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gone Lucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sea Vow | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greeley’s Wish | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | John’s Luck | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Choice | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reckless Ransom | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Set Hut | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bellamy Cay | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rule Taylor Rule | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Hands | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gottabegolden | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exacta | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Temple of Roses | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Louisiane | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Betty Joy’s Star | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaydees in Town | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lakendereya | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vinton’s Vin Geaux | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Cool Spring | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nola Fashion | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tricky Creed | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tencentmartinimary | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Red La Rosa | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Callmeonmycellfone | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Valor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Calamity Jane | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild About Star | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Cutter | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fame Feather | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seaside Amour | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Half a Million | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Showcase Mall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Niigon’s Glory | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curzon Street | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Irish Proud | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One Kind of Crazy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handiwork | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little B | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bank On Andy (FR) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Erik the Red | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tringale | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nola Win | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Mule | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Favorite Song | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Conquistador | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fireball Jon | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temple | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Social | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vogt | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Attorney Tim | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chimneyville | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Callmechamp | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Last of the Luck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Social Cat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Grand Omega | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Doug’s Bug | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Colonel Soul | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Horace Charles | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Charlie de Hustle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | My Run’s On | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.