January 30, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
First Appeal |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Nikki’s Cause |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kool Kate |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jermyn Street |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Long |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Sassy |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Indygita |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Scatnap |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prado Vision |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Organic Jenny |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Passionate Hachi |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Astro Empire |
1.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Mystery Witness |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Best Thunder |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
For the Road |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Crazed |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Meilleur |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Global Entry |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Second Street |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Love Conquers |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
In the Chamber |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vigas |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Could Be |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bay Bridge |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Liquid Aloha |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aire Bueno (CHI) |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Gran Bonita Chica |
1.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Country Girl Shirl |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starof Distinction |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Poesia |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bobby Lee |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aqua Gem |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Valerie First |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Enoughandthensome |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glory Roll |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Adamant |
1.40 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mimi’s Mandate |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
For Reef’s Sake |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Princess Daniela |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweepeno |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Freight Train Lane |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Enduros Tigress |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Judith Can |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sol Dat Sugar |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Happy River |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
R Lucky Dice |
1.40 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Wishfully |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Liza Star |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Miss Surprise |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Queen Lizzie |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rhode Island |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Argonne |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Battle of Memphis (IRE) |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Repair the World |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Souper Riptide |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Abe Froman |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silver Shield |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trinity (FR) |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
First Commander |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bernardino |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Emperor John |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Why God |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Juan and Bina |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eclipsed Moon |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dunk |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nightstrings |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pirate’s Treasure |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Something Bird |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
Curlin’s Knight |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
K C Twostep |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
McErin |
0.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Regrets |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bold Envoy |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blackjack Baby |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gran Saman |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Green Mansions |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Diddley |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Farley |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Wisely |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Outside Lookin In |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
The Robert |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Home Power |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Indurate |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
More Mo |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bunyan’s Axe |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cocorroco |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mon Chevalier |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bad Boy E. J. |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Count Archibald |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Archie’s Song |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Marnesia One Step |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
13 |
12 |
Stag of Sylvia |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
El Commendatore |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mysterio |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.