January 28, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Andy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ruston Vow | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wabash Cannonball | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Case’s Ticket | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fire Lake | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boston Bob | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fetching Fury | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cause Me Grief | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brenda’s Fever | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swifty Cat | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shook | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Untruthful Sonnet | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Velvet Vision | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coco Honey | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | John Tippmann | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Forgotten Coast | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celerity | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Got Gold | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maligator | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Prophet | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bronco Sally | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stealing Sunshine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fun Paddy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Russian Mafia | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Regatta | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Aletter Maria | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squibnocket | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Delachaise | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Flashback | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Il Est Vite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Outback Jack | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Snapper Bite | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eights Wild | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whoz Talkin Now | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vapor Viper | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Piranha Tough | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sandana Heat | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Don Guillermo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jus Lively | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Joemo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chambliss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Musical Man | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Vacation | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Unrestricted | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Atlantic Ruler | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Terps | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Pinata | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Closing Up | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Typhoon Tycoon | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rivers Rising | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half a Bite | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halostar | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whatafind | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Furiously Fast | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carry the One | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Break Even | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Orbit | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Savvy Ally | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spice It Up | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | White Birch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Laser Ladee | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ginny B | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enchanted Emma | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Keeneasabean | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nerissa | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Chainmail | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cry Like a Baby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sissy’s Kitten | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ishtar | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a Fine Dime | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Deyonce | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Carmelized | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Argument | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singing Deacon | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tin Roof Rusted | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Combat Command | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Bond | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rhettever | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robert’s Prince | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.