January 27, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | My Man Jax | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Great Sky | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Mr Haney | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Im the Best I Know | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abominable Snowman | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causeur | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bourbon Shotte | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lascivious | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bellamy Cay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kraft’s Rate | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bing’s d’Oro | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Our Star | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glorieta | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run By | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen E | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Sugar | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elizabeth’s Music | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady’s Tribute | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fostering Harmony | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dance | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fashion’s Touch | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Parisian Stroll | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Boots | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sacred Storm | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unexpected Visit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Affaire Secrete | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Applewood | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lukie (GB) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Non Regrette | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hero of the Hour | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maglio | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wristlet | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Silver | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaliningrad | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Mile Creek | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mumford | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twin Farms | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elkhorn Poet | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Desire | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fascilitator | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irritator | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taruca | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Undercover Lover | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Label | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Desert Prophet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Satellite | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Leavem Britten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Barraaq (GB) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Wicked | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizztic Tale | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roar of the Lion | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wildscore | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zorzor | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Speedy Fellar | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | N. D. Free | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indium | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Afleet Roger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fair Shot | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tommy C Me | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jazz It Up | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dad Said No | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seek N Justice | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caeus in Pasadena | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ipurrfurcandy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smithwick | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Locket Box | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Antarctic | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carbonated | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Postimpressionist | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Destiny Awaits | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernardian | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chop Chop Charlie | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rich Tradition | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnum Maduro | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Rooster | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Never Even Called | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tinseltown Kitten | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crooked as Can Be | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cameron Rules | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shaniko’s Secret | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freakonthelead | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Tyree | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delaware Basin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Frenchie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Timeslikethese | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rollwithit | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ide B a Classic | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.