January 26, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vincento | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singapore Trader | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carthon | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Irish | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haul Anchor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Taptaptap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Talespin | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wisecrack | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Simbasalltrouble | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D Emcee | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dark Money | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Amanjena | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Snap | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nueva York | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | It’s Mo Joke | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maiden Beauty | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Takes Charge | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shelley Ann | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lem Me Have It | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Movie Score | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waving Flags | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Mischief | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Retort | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Went With the Wind | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Lumberjane | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | L. A. Page | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seven Is Heaven | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Dr. Lloyd | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judge Stanton | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Blue Giant | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10A | 10 | Amundson | 1.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chuckles | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Paddy Brown | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Falsifier | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lorcan | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gongheifatchoy | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Five Night Freddie | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Breaking Boundary | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fuel the Bern | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Get the Munny | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Build to Suit | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Franknjymme | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitmewthurbestshot | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redyornothereicome | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Call the Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eddie Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Accolade | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Won’t Be Missed | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Beach Access | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Muddy | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Slot | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unsullied | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | D’ambrosio | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Scat | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Metaphorical | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Raging Fire | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ten Twenty Nine | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Giant | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jazil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Title Ready | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunny Ridge | 1.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Bonus | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thebigfundamental | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Buff | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hero’s Welcome | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12A | 12 | Outplay | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Scarf It Down | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shalako | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 4 | No Distortion | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Indian Guide | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halloween Horror | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maimo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Asterisk | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sparty Boy | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eden Ridge | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swivel | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shamcat | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Low Is Laine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Promise Me Roses | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causin’ Trouble | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wanna Be Regal | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Gold | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Sass | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Discount Diva | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My First Gal | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Here Comes Helen | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Highleelikelee | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Ziggy Is Zubby | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saturdaynightfling | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Irish Glitter | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.