January 25, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exchange Gold | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonnerre | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’dawson | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Machinist | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Juneberris Sound | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disapproval | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flashly | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Passage | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Diamond | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blingin’ Rose | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Figure | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truth Goddess | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready for War | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lurey An | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Too | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Pepper Ann | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Native Wahoo | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Believeinsomething | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Diva | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Born to D’ Wild | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | D J Soul Sista | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Smiley Briley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hiclass Production | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jus Wow | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bionic Butterfly | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gabby’s Half | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dyso | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Room to Finish | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toodaloo to You | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sabe Marcelete | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Katiebmeister | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forgotten | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Wanna Snuggle | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun English | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Spartanburg | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trust in Diane | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catty Krys | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aubrey | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bing | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I. Damiana | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Arch | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry N Bo | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Bonne Margie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Domikate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Noble Thought | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chicago Blues | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letthebigshot Roll | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Cat | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolateicecream | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Senor Blanco | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Compagno | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Plug Catcher | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fleetway | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Watch Out Justin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | He’s Note Worthy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Civil | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Court’s Revenge | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mountain Warrior | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Road | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aces Destiny | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mistress of Petra | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | She’sonthewarpath | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Serious Steam | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Mary Celeste | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Confidently | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Seeking a Star | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yes It’s Ginger | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Becky’s Bluegrass | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome One | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promised Fame | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Daddymademedoit | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Elle’s Town | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Weightlessness | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Fides Ratio (FR) | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss You Jo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warnock Springs | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Rampant | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Card Shark | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | General Basil Duke | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mikey’s Mouse | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kye’s Addycat | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seaside Sergeant | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Blinkey | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.