Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 24, 2019

January 24, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Guilty Kitty 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Comebackwilson 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Singinginthewind 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Bold Zarb 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Friend of Dubai 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Cheap Shot 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Reece’s Pal 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Brush With Caution 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Ide’s Last Music 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 On My Toes 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Havinfunyet 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Little Snip 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Behold the Queen 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aint Annie Grand 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Victory Seeker 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lunarstrike 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lady Temple 1.40 SCRATCH
13 13 Classy and Rich 30.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Myositis Mystique 12.00 2.2 4-1
11 4 Sage’s Epiphany 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 3 Vow Me Over 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 2 Mizzen Air 20.00 3.8 7-1
14 5 Soaring Now 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cimarron 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Spun Line 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Michel It’s Autum 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lady Blue 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Twins Plus a Dot 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Another Mimosa 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Given Grace 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Cooler Schedule 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Case’s Ticket 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 T’ Cadeau 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Thunderberg 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fire Lake 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sand Pit Road 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Well’s Gold 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Throwacross 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 7 Remembermis 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 1 Stuck in Vegas 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 5 Payday Too 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 Zarb’s Gift 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 6 Sean 12.00 5.7 11-1
13 8 Sweet Kody Lane 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miracle Mountain 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Netela 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Silver Giant 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sunrise Hawk 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Seeking Fast 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Neverquitdreaming 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 One Million 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Simba’s Pride 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Unbroken Song 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Canny 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tudox Lifting Off 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Beach Waltz 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Punto de Entrada 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sarabi 30.00 SCRATCH
5 1 Weneedtotalk 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 2 Big Blue Magic 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 4 Cubs Win 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 3 Unfading Beauty 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 5 Lil Vie 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shining Knight 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Arrival 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Aces High 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Always a Catch 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Candy Carlos 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Pear Lemonade 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 California Swing 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Twist Off 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Par One 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Thenextbestthing 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Red Mule 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Temple 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Charcoal 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Just Might 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Real News 5.00 4 7-1
3 3 Loveatturkeyclub 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Proschema 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 He’s the Souperwon 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Stage Ready 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Lemon Again 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Keepin It Classy 15.00 6.8 13-1
13 10 Irish Hokie 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Lauriano 20.00 8.7 17-1
14 11 Locuaz 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fancy Pants Jen 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Oma Lee 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Charlotte’s Wish 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Bankers Honour 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Daylight Deelite 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Custom Made Ready 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 L L L College Fund 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Karslyn 6.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Weavemeawinr 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.