January 24, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Guilty Kitty |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Comebackwilson |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Singinginthewind |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Zarb |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Friend of Dubai |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cheap Shot |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reece’s Pal |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brush With Caution |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ide’s Last Music |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
On My Toes |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Havinfunyet |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Little Snip |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Behold the Queen |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Aint Annie Grand |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Victory Seeker |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lunarstrike |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Lady Temple |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Classy and Rich |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
1 |
Myositis Mystique |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
4 |
Sage’s Epiphany |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
3 |
Vow Me Over |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
2 |
Mizzen Air |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
14 |
5 |
Soaring Now |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cimarron |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spun Line |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Michel It’s Autum |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Blue |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Twins Plus a Dot |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Another Mimosa |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Given Grace |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cooler Schedule |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Case’s Ticket |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
T’ Cadeau |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Thunderberg |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Fire Lake |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sand Pit Road |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Well’s Gold |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Throwacross |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
7 |
Remembermis |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Stuck in Vegas |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
5 |
Payday Too |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
4 |
Zarb’s Gift |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
6 |
Sean |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
13 |
8 |
Sweet Kody Lane |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Miracle Mountain |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Netela |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silver Giant |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sunrise Hawk |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Seeking Fast |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neverquitdreaming |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
One Million |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Simba’s Pride |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unbroken Song |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Canny |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Tudox Lifting Off |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Beach Waltz |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Punto de Entrada |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Sarabi |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
1 |
Weneedtotalk |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
2 |
Big Blue Magic |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
4 |
Cubs Win |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
3 |
Unfading Beauty |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
5 |
Lil Vie |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shining Knight |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arrival |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aces High |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Always a Catch |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Candy Carlos |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pear Lemonade |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
California Swing |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twist Off |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Par One |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Thenextbestthing |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Red Mule |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Temple |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Charcoal |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Just Might |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real News |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Loveatturkeyclub |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Proschema |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
He’s the Souperwon |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stage Ready |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lemon Again |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Keepin It Classy |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
13 |
10 |
Irish Hokie |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lauriano |
20.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
14 |
11 |
Locuaz |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fancy Pants Jen |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oma Lee |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Charlotte’s Wish |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bankers Honour |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daylight Deelite |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Custom Made Ready |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
L L L College Fund |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Karslyn |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Weavemeawinr |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sandy’s Wager |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.