January 24, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ja’s Malibu |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awillaway |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
First Forever |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Winifred J |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Blindness |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Today Comes Once |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Two Graces |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4A |
4 |
Midnight Crossing |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dynamite Kitten |
0.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eight Minute Ellie |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lolli |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7A |
7 |
Tequila Sunday |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Sky |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiffany’s Vision |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Spectator Sport |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dillon Rocks |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Loverboy Lou |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Running Violence |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucid Dream |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gallant Bid |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deputy Zapper |
50.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Never Felt Better |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Rucksack |
1.40 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Our Honor |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bad Guy |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
March Screamer |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Power Boss |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smidge |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seediskid |
50.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Gem |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
T Loves a Fight |
0.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Readyheartandsoul |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fifty Eight O G |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Haudenosaunee |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wage Acceleration |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peculiar Sensation |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Old Upstart |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Great Samurai |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3A |
3 |
Pipes |
1.40 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beachside |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7A |
7 |
Southern King |
1.40 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Woodbury |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kosciuszko |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Durkin’s Call |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mac’s Revolution |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hushion |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Makin’ Out |
1.20 |
3 |
6-1 |
3A |
3 |
Sing for Beauty |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leah’s Dream |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Turn and Bern |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7A |
7 |
Cryinthemoonlight |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Orchid Party |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cirque |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gentle Annie |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Emily’s Smile |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Paynterbynumbers |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cariba |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Solent |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Canarsie Girl |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stonewalker |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joyful Frolic |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mahkato |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Team Win |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leroy’s Sweetypie |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.