January 22, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Flippity Flop |
1.40 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brew by You |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sister Patricia |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pastiche |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Creative Princess |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Georgia Bonnet |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Layla’s Voyage |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Chubofftheoldblock |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Offlee Optimistic |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sheplaysthefield |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lost Point |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sandy Mischief |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sunny My Way |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz a Kitten |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hibernia Diamond |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Donna’s Dunkirk |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
6 |
Brazilian Symphony |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Celesse |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
4 |
Checkbouncin Billy |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1A |
5 |
Awesome Singer |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mill and Gloria |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
7 |
Sweet Maggie Mae |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Ignite |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
9 |
Tiz Fair |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Congressionalstorm |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dan’s Girl |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lookingforanewspot |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dancin Debbie |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lou’s Chardonnay |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweetest Yet |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
To the Flag |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Wildly Good Lookin |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Hopeful Angel |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iwishirish |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
4 |
Don’s Escapade |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1A |
6 |
Girls and Guns |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
8 |
Atina Salsa |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
7 |
Case Dismissed |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Exotic Appeal |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Charly’s Charm |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Nightlife |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Northern Beauty |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diva Drama |
1.40 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Allegretto |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tomarie |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Terpeye |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grey Harmony |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Repentant |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Hey Jabber Jaw |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
7 |
Grateful Cause |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1A |
8 |
Draxhall Woods |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Credo |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Street Tail |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ok Now |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
9 |
Hammers Vision |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Adumato |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
Afleet Melody |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Givetheman a Cigar |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Square the Circle |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shanghai Check |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1A |
8 |
Aspen Xtreme |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Secret Lies |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pawn It Back |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
9 |
Mission Oberon |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Peter G. Fox |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
10 |
Wise Jude |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
11 |
Frost’s Song |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Aristocratic |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Hitmewthurbestshot |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Love Is Your Name |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spirit Special |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Caniform |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Popizar |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
A J’s Way |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
South Sea |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Matter of Factor |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blu Without You |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Boyd Crowder |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
D’yer Mak’er |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Harbor |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Salem Loop |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sight Line |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
To the Victor |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vegas Strip |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
In Equality |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wild About Deb |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cheddar Chub |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rapo |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Noble Kent |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.