January 21, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anonymously | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kate’s Princess | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Rod Gal | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Splendid | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot On the Trail | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Lifted Up | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Pet | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Hat Tantrum | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Little Unruly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Scattering Mink | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Mamba | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rancor | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ria Munk | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gold Arrow | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stormy Sunset | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D D’s Lute | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amers | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Sophie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easter Dream | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Come On Kat | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uno Trouble Maker | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empress of Lov | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rather Nosy | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Dime for Me | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goodtingscominpink | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curryforthree Bang | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Image | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Your Royal Coil | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lead Actress | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrensrollingdice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glitter Gulch | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wilshire Dude | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Game | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All I Can Say | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ayacara (GB) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Steve | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Can Do This | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Topgallant | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin B | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shut It Up | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Courteous | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Queen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Data Storm Kitty | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apache Princess | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angel Alessandra | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creative Instinct | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Devils Dance | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Parker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | John’s Intuition | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Like Really Smart | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Parking Here | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Challenge | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome John | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lu Cat | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bob’s Sniper | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cryin’ Chuck | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Megahertz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quebec | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vasilika | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amandine (GB) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Bad Behavior | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last Promise Kept | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Sardane (FR) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chill | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captivate | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concur | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shane Zain | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Cotton | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Trump | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haughty Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Out of Balance | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ladymidtown | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedette | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gemagine | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz Felicity | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To the Morning | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sapori Girl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Enlisting | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Paige Runner | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.