January 19, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Red Gum |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smile Bryan |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
V. I. P. Ticket |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Malibu in Motion |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chilly in Charge |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valiant Appeal |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
I’mthetapitnow |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Canal Point |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Shezalemondropkid |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Weekend Delight |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Atlantic Avenue |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Bash |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mary’s Jewel |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jungle Rose |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mortal Storm |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Go Amanda |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Secuencia |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Last Love |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Fergie’s Lady |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
La Zoraya |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Rockin Ruth |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doit for Spite |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
When It Reigns |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cherokee Fire |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Given Achance |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nobody’s Angel |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stevie the Cat |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Vinny Gorgeous |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nancy R |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dirtyfoot |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Stroll Smokin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Hot N Spicy Love |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Global Citizen |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Throw the Fade |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
7 |
Glengar |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
5 |
Calculated Thinkin |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Petion Night |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
You Can Never Tell |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Shacklefords Pride |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
8 |
Where You Was |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Savvy Street |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Sacred Walk |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Divine Interventio |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Maximian |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joy Drive |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ten Hut |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chargin Storm |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dattt Melody |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whirlin Curlin |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Birdies Honor |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Blame the Kids |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Eagle Pass |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jump Jive an Wail |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flying the Flag |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elusive Hero |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sparty |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rare Eagle |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lion Lord |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Crusader |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
El Corazon |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Huyana |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bay Hill |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gorbachov |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pro Riot |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jonathan McD |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vineyard Harbour |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dr. Cerrato |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stay On Point |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freedom Storm |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Bad Angle Burke |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Swingstage |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Son of Flicker |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eighty Bucks |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
13 |
13 |
Captain Trips |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Scoop N Nailz |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Three Hawk |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Setubal |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magically Discreet |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Turing Machine |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Head for the Shore |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Musabaqa |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sally O’Prado |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Altamira |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Firth |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
El Rojo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Candy Store |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Boots |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Benandjoe |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
One More Drink |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Joker D Lish |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Makes Mo Cents |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baptize the Boy |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.