January 18, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Top Czar | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poplar Avenue | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Nation | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Made It | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Generalist | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustoff | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapitontheside | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arbutus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Estrella Grande | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwithpaynter | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Congrats Graduate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | String Bean | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jah Grace | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Petticoatsnpistols | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Caterina One | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full of Drama | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Di | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fifteen K | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Do Good | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just a Whim | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss After School | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Leapt | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little United | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Emily and Jill | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trufflesberg | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slewzer | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Prestons Princess | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Springtime Wind | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More Excuses | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dat Dares Gold | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Momma | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Streets On Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Girl Drama | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Corvid | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | C V’s Wild Child | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missimard | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Animalistic | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Lassie | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Majorie Mugs | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | She Be Sassy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princess Nekia | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jak | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | S W Briar Rose | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bye Bye Blues | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polite Pearl | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Hope | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enterprise Value | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Maiden | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sir Bond | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Young American | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Cowboy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Took Over | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get a Valentine | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky the Kid | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookingforanewhome | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prime Time Man | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classic Cotton | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stretch’s Stone | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greatbullsoffire | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robey’s Boy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evil Monkey | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ballivor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheese On | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eastern Bay | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glindas Good Karma | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fly E Dubai | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fireman Oscar | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Say No | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Best Surprise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Do Yahwanna Salsa | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here’s Paco | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord of Misrule | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Swing Step | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Your Words | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Henry | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patriotic Quest | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Freemark | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Here Comes Michael | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Heavenly Haze | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.