January 18, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Papa’s Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Durlyn | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Girl Shirl | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Lee and Me | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paso a La Reina | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poesia | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slide a Bit | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Nicole | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Irish Fix | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nina’s Patience | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sold On Salsa | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freckles Kan | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Love | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shanghai Dreams | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Before | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Total Treasure | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Truly Courageous | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bird of Peace | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Deer Island Diva | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Can You See Me | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Iana | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nikee Kan | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Underestimate | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Moxie | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Restructure | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Surprise | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neon | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Farley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Macho Blue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sum Overture | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shanghai Noon | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Teak | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Heidi Ho | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Visions of You | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dublin Tinker | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Thorpe d’Oro | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Top Fleet | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fulgencio | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Dudley | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Kelly | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Bustin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nation U S A | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tropical Tapistry | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Wade | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trinni Juice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Harryhee | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nonsuch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Whenthedovescry | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Gaughen | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bushrod | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Queens Jules | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Starship Wildcat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr French (GB) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Icatiro | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sunshine Charlie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Architectural | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yes Factor | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heavens Pulpit | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Longstocking | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shackleford County | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gianna’s Gift | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luzmimi Princess | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sean’s Idea | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bestinthebusiness | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Spring Tempest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Artesian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Panzacola (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Psalmody | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Notapradaprice | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Finess Bere (FR) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mitchell Road | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Moment | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taperge | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O. K. Kay | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cowgirl Tough | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drop Dead Red | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drinks On Me | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mutabaahyia | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Favorite Gift | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dagney’s Warrior | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cutting Humor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Archidust | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Borracho | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Award Winner | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon War | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everfast | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Art G Is Back | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Macho Man | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whitecap Bay | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Rosa Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jazzy Beach | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Conquesthardcherry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Spiced Rum Punch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | River of Fire | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Molly’s Party | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catherines Warrior | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kindhearted Kota | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Karlita | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tailadios | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bay River | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fantastic Kingdom | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Shirley | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Marta | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get Back Home | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beach Lady | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.