January 18, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dori’s Birdies | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Proudmoney | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch’s Li’l Nieta | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strikingly Smart | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wind Zee | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Bandit | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unbridled Honey | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Girls Rule | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major Ridge | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Larry Dale | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leap Baby Leap | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Sunrise | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No More for U | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roses n’ Rubies | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m d’Cat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jacobs Flyer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Greeley Went West | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Gentlmens Agrement | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Zenucci | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Maga Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Zippy | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pont Du Gard | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paddy O’Lionel | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Harbor Pilot | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | In Charge Halo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Papa’s Boy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No One Greater | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Cake | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Emperor | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | City Candy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wrinkled Rose | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khairiya | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morissette | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetest Appeal | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wings of Fury | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Her Name Is Um | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Drinking Dixie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Special for You | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Support | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Chocolate Kisses | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Love | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Limonaia | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Spider Dance | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Community Watch | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Flatoutandfoxy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Unapologetic Me | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fun Paddy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Because It’s Time | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Mini Chunk | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Turner Time | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rollin Smoke | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Game | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Fast | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sparkys Surprise | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Garrison K | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dontwishfortrouble | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Nerissa | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Oxbowindy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kenai Cool | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cry Like a Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cimarron | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Family Ties | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Flair | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gioblast | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free to Fly | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Triple Malt | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | British Invader (GB) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Priority | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go to War | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cirrusly | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamite Daughters | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kaydees in Town | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Concord Fast | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Telekinesis | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drena’s Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Lucky | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Funny Biz | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | About Our Time | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ebben | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omega Moon | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 16 | High Mounte (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Botswana | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Neon Gator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 15 | Don Curlione | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Drayke’s Channel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | Frankincense | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Steeles Run | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Piocho | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Farat | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freakin Joe | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Optimal | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Believeinholidays | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Artie | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Lane | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tinseltown Kitten | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timbrook | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Warnock Springs | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ten Brownies | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arnaud | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cracker Jackson | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Glacken | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jennovodka | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mira | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Run for Three | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Hombre | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.