January 18, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Love to Learn | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool as You Like | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Victoria Rose | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Punch | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emblazoner | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blissful Breeze | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twelfthofneverland | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Trance | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thousand Percent | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Rally Cap | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | By the Sey Shore | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin to Be Loved | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Americano | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chicken Valley Rd | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | There He Goes | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Equal the Score | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridolfo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Well in Tune | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finn’s Posse | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shuffling Madness | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Behavior | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Langdarma | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Pretentious | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mills | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Potomac | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coltandmississippi | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poshsky | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Outplay | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In a Fog | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empress Sophia | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze With Honor | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bee’snbee’s | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emmy Knows | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Cara | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiztinabella | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Takeoff | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Hipp | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D’ambrosio | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Where’s Rudy | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Danny California | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Much Trouble | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Local Edition | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shimmering Moon | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Girl Abby | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Birthday | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Deal | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hattie L | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devilish Romance | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Janie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twofer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blooming | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Two Hot Betty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Courageous Queen | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Mission | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Wilburnmoney | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Malarkey | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Questeq | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.